Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e101225f2b0b613d2e8fcccb9261180bdb993d811267d924390bdd32aef56cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Florida Atlantic Owls, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wichita State Shockers | 76c | 5,580$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.09 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 29c | 3,001$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 2,123$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 28c | 1,939$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 25c | 1,700$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wichita State Shockers | 79c | 1,385$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 8c | 1,272$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 24c | 1,135$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers | 72c | 934.35$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 34c | 875.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wichita State Shockers | 68c | 659.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 26c | 619$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 614.83$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers | 72c | 463.72$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wichita State Shockers | 75c | 431.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 430.01$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 65c | 423.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…d3dbbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 5c | 403.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 26c | 397.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 28c | 301.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wichita State Shockers | 77c | 298.74$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 26c | 278.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 230.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 199.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Wichita State Shockers | 77c | 190.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 28c | 178.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wichita State Shockers | 68c | 169.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Wichita State Shockers | 72c | 152.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 25c | 150.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 142.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 28c | 121.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wichita State Shockers | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 31c | 107.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 27c | 86.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 22c | 75.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 26c | 72.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 25c | 71.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 27c | 68.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 60.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wichita State Shockers | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 24c | 56.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 49.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wichita State Shockers | 72c | 49.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…d903backed Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 45.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 66c | 45.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 26c | 45.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 39.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wichita State Shockers | 69c | 36.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wichita State Shockers | 74c | 25.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 69c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Wichita State Shockers | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Wichita State Shockersthis page
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-7.5)Wichita State Shockers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.