Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Uruguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1cc54ea439b7f53807248331488686ff0f0af14ac00f20809eb26c34a2a6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 23c | 3,020$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.38 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 42c | 2,073$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 26c | 926$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 857.82$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.52 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 613.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 556.87$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…63a0backed Yes | 23c | 476.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 77c | 438.71$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…fa8cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 403.91$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 76c | 372.85$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 76c | 360.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 313$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 208.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 179.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 78c | 179.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 179$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 23c | 178.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 174.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 64c | 154.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 149.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 24c | 118.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 50c | 82.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 14c | 72.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6258backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 63.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…b0dbbacked Yes | 23c | 51.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…dcaebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 23c | 45.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 76c | 44.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830c…d1fcbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe029…258bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…92b1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 39.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Uruguay?this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Neither team to score first?No won
- Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.