Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f841a9d2e21b32ae0f15b921cfebda741e77b317cc82eaacec9f1cc792da6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 2,048$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…5314backed Yes | 1c | 1,186$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 70c | 999.96$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 972.09$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 858.01$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 70c | 692.9$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes | 72c | 685.58$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 8c | 505.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 5c | 448.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 403.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 5c | 336.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.88 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 322.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yes | 70c | 302.72$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe618…cce6backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…4702backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 27c | 240$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 71c | 232.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 183$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 183$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed No | 31c | 158$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…0e61backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…8b3ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 134.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 130.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 114.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 112.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 106.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…83d5backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 90.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 70c | 90.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 71c | 84.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 30c | 82.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…1659backed Yes | 70c | 71.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Yes | 71c | 58.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 29c | 50.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…87aabacked Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…4b18backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…3db8backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 70c | 32.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…82febacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…38fabacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…5e46backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…804ebacked Yes | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 68c | 21.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5189…32ecbacked Yes | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?this page
- Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Uruguay?Yes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.