CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e38471dbe0619642efcda9f08bfeef5d0e59f7d4c877e44ea4092f949afc5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed MAGICOS | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MAGICOS | 28c | 1,217$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed MAGICOS | 23c | 1,157$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 1,127$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 941.83$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 840.36$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.57 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 38c | 621.02$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MAGICOS | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MAGICOS | 20c | 441.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…3dd4backed MAGICOS | 24c | 420.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 372.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MAGICOS | 56c | 372.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed MAGICOS | 31c | 368$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 355.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MAGICOS | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 293.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked MAGICOS | 28c | 275.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed METANOIA WOLVES | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 267.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed MAGICOS | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked MAGICOS | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 239.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 218.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked MAGICOS | 32c | 217.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MAGICOS | 35c | 194.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 72c | 194.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed MAGICOS | 12c | 189.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MAGICOS | 15c | 189.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 69c | 188.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 182.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed MAGICOS | 36c | 162.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed METANOIA WOLVES | 76c | 156.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…bb1fbacked MAGICOS | 60c | 144.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 73c | 143.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked MAGICOS | 30c | 141.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 139.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 133.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MAGICOS | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGICOS | 55c | 119.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked MAGICOS | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MAGICOS | 65c | 106.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed MAGICOS | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed MAGICOS | 14c | 85.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 80.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MAGICOS | 14c | 79.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 76.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 76.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MAGICOS | 34c | 71.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 68.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MAGICOS | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked MAGICOS | 70c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MAGICOS | 55c | 52.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed METANOIA WOLVES | 69c | 46.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS | 32c | 40.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed MAGICOS | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed MAGICOS | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed METANOIA WOLVES | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 31.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 29.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed METANOIA WOLVES | 80c | 26.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed MAGICOS | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 72c | 22.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageMAGICOS won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerMAGICOS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.