CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf423f1983cefa08dd861959306f67b01330bbcb4ad4c74869a0f1bedb4d22f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MAGICOSof METANOIA WOLVES, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 3,087$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MAGICOS | 58c | 2,226$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.43 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 1,640$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.18 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed MAGICOS | 31c | 1,023$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.75 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 586.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 546.77$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MAGICOS | 54c | 499.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 45c | 429.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MAGICOS | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 392.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 382.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MAGICOS | 46c | 351.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MAGICOS | 64c | 242$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MAGICOS | 67c | 215.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MAGICOS | 66c | 208.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 200.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 179$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MAGICOS | 54c | 162.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 151.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 144$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MAGICOS | 46c | 142.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGICOS | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed MAGICOS | 41c | 135.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MAGICOS | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 115.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 86.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MAGICOS | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed MAGICOS | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MAGICOS | 35c | 64.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked MAGICOS | 57c | 60.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed MAGICOS | 36c | 59.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked MAGICOS | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked MAGICOS | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked MAGICOS | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MAGICOS | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGICOS | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MAGICOS | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MAGICOS | 42c | 33.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked MAGICOS | 41c | 33.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed MAGICOS | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed MAGICOS | 46c | 31.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…ed1cbacked MAGICOS | 60c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +39%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageMAGICOS won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.