Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec3a212a30509bf270c1dbd2f45029611a8fa3b02027812fe988f7963e04218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of LYON, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked LYON | 34c | 4,735$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Cloud9 | 66c | 4,196$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.63 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cloud9 | 51c | 2,288$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.31 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed LYON | 47c | 865.4$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.73 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 67c | 777$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Cloud9 | 45c | 579.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked LYON | 55c | 549.56$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 526.13$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed LYON | 48c | 479.13$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked LYON | 49c | 351.53$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked LYON | 14c | 311$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed LYON | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed LYON | 49c | 201.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed LYON | 49c | 191.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed LYON | 34c | 177.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed LYON | 47c | 160.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed LYON | 49c | 150.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed LYON | 49c | 137.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Cloud9 | 40c | 132.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked LYON | 49c | 113.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cloud9 | 53c | 98.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Cloud9 | 55c | 97.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed LYON | 49c | 89.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked LYON | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed LYON | 49c | 53.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed LYON | 34c | 44.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked LYON | 48c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Cloud9 | 68c | 39.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed LYON | 49c | 38.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Cloud9 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Cloud9 | 72c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed LYON | 59c | 27.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked LYON | 48c | 27.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked LYON | 48c | 26.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked LYON | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud9 | 46c | 25.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed LYON | 47c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…f499backed LYON | 48c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked LYON | 70c | 20.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…e515backed LYON | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group StageCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.