TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Cloud9, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9750…263dbacked Cloud947c36,090$16,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,835.231942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Cloud944c17,167$7,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,621.721,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud949c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.971,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Cloud93c14,336$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0111631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LYON53c11,742$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,518.392,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed LYON47c10,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,310.4721137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Cloud952c9,827$5,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,132.451,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed Cloud914c9,443$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.686440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LYON68c9,041$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.6259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LYON57c8,450$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.2385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Cloud947c7,386$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.571,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed LYON53c7,338$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.3110550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON65c6,817$4,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.141,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LYON52c6,756$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.2882044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Cloud935c6,630$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.919345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON51c5,890$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.851,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LYON58c5,886$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.6395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LYON56c5,084$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.2876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.991,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LYON51c4,885$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.771,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Cloud950c4,500$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2401,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Cloud948c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.981,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Cloud948c4,328$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.3815543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed LYON52c3,920$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.1539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked LYON51c3,885$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.629637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Cloud924c3,176$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON53c3,020$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.42,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Cloud953c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked LYON53c2,700$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Cloud914c2,665$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7714228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed LYON54c2,650$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.733727%10 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cloud953c2,317$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.7570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed LYON54c2,119$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.5211129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON77c2,107$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.31,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON69c1,980$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.81,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Cloud942c1,922$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.110445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LYON51c1,462$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.651,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Cloud948c1,433$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6881,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud950c1,428$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.2890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Cloud93c1,310$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4545618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LYON58c1,278$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8269539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Cloud916c1,268$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Cloud92c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Cloud94c1,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud947c1,135$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.331,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LYON53c1,022$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.0989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Cloud947c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Cloud949c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Cloud945c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Cloud92c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked LYON52c1,000$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Cloud94c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Cloud953c999.99$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.381,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Cloud939c991.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON56c966.33$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.921,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc573…61d1backed Cloud951c921.61$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.065145.1%23 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed LYON52c900$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed LYON51c837.46$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4633143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed LYON76c791.4$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.46058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud948c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Cloud949c689$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Cloud948c628$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4421753.9%117 W · 100 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed LYON69c600$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LYON61c585.86$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.851,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Cloud916c580.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LYON51c570.69$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1959241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LYON56c525.84$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1573237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON53c509.42$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.432,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed LYON58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21041347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked LYON52c487$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7644751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed LYON73c485.22$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9650549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cloud948c450.37$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21692342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Cloud98c450$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Cloud948c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21621147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Cloud947c445.79$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5250749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LYON52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.121,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Cloud947c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Cloud954c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21664453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed LYON78c383.36$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3428855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Cloud953c374.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.81,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LYON56c357.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.657151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON54c332.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.193,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Cloud916c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked LYON65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed LYON51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479738.1%37 W · 60 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LYON52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14483560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LYON50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Cloud948c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14468557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Cloud922c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Cloud941c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed LYON45c299.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cloud95c299.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Cloud948c294.75$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4821749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed Cloud949c293.47$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.384847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Cloud948c293.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.752850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LYON55c272.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.961,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed LYON53c268.49$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1966947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed LYON63c259.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1240959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed LYON50c255$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7614732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.