Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79937e30cc8e65571825e58de02752a3bd34be4b55026f370da0db55d38f2313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 4,339$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.63 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 52c | 2,164$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.72 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 53c | 561.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 392$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 52c | 345.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 326$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…eac9backed Under | 47c | 268.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 46c | 261.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 52c | 221$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Under | 65c | 200.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 170.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Under | 56c | 158.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 44c | 132.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 36c | 78.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Under | 57c | 68.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 69c | 60.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 77c | 60.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Under | 73c | 41.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 52c | 39.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 52c | 39.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 67c | 29.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 53c | 28.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Over | 52c | 20.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group StageCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.