Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0f8875bfbd20502b699dddc90ed1221388c412b5ff0b6217af3d2a750c6da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 21c | 3,906$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.25 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 79c | 3,900$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 79c | 3,074$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 1,189$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 78c | 1,104$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 950.91$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 672.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 78c | 419.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 78c | 346.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 345.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 20c | 245.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 19c | 240.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…fd10backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…3119backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.