Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf753cb28f9062c085c05622040ac0a15cc63672cd5d6bb2756852f496d87e5f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 70c | 9,022$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 30c | 2,504$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.09 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 31c | 1,923$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 71c | 1,272$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.46 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Over | 31c | 1,042$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.93 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 27c | 1,020$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 862$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 726$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 685.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 14c | 532.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 31c | 510.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 33c | 453.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…ec91backed Under | 70c | 425.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…89c7backed Under | 73c | 395.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 70c | 380$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 307.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 30c | 252.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 201.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…9d3ebacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Over | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Over | 33c | 154.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…2131backed Under | 70c | 143.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Under | 70c | 102.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 79c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 75.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Under | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 79c | 36.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416d…6fd5backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Under | 77c | 24.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 238 | 44.1%105 W · 133 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.