Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba30fa4c41d588112cec72498a83b61cabd0a92063ad0803ac4ab68cdc42e866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 47c | 1,397$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.52 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 47c | 709.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 47c | 570$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 509.16$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.31 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 473.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…4a39backed Over | 47c | 428.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 47c | 285$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 52c | 235.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 39c | 95.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Under | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.