Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4936b0055c968e08c64ebd2f98406db0520a559871f5a391923d2898a5ef16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 48c | 4,548$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.38 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 52c | 1,130$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.56 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 779.1$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.55 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 666.54$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 508$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under | 80c | 493$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Over | 52c | 436$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 403.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 298.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 48c | 297.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 48c | 264.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 133.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…2912backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed Over | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21f…8570backed Under | 50c | 40.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…72d5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 35.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ca…d0aabacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 28.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Over | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 49c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.