Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc91f98667ac9229839db9c31f9245861545cd9eb9363792da3e39465be8bd54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc94a…d6c6backed Over | 44c | 7,931$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 2,568$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 2,116$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.87 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Over | 42c | 2,006$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.54 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 1,061$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 786.27$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 444.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 42c | 375.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 43c | 306.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Under | 57c | 299.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Under | 58c | 248.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 39c | 92.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 56c | 52.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 56c | 37.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…be38backed Under | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.