TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under40c2,500$1,000 inWon+$1,499.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over60c703.4$422 inLost-$422.0410849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Under40c700.9$280 inWon+$420.549325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over60c649.6$390 inLost-$389.769440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under38c500$190 inWon+$31023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under41c483.78$200 inWon+$283.7812846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over58c299.99$175 inLost-$175.491,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c222.03$132 inLost-$131.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under40c216.78$87 inWon+$130.0767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over60c202.47$121 inLost-$121.486250%31 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Under42c173.81$73 inWon+$100.8117241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…cd64backed Over59c166.1$98 inLost-$982944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over58c131.98$77 inLost-$76.5532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under41c121.95$50 inWon+$71.958447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Under42c116.79$49 inWon+$67.745223.1%12 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c73.45$29 inWon+$44.343,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over60c58.33$35 inLost-$3520049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under40c31.14$12 inWon+$18.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e3…9d4fbacked Over59c30.51$18 inLost-$18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e7…bfacbacked Over60c18.67$11 inLost-$11.25046%23 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ea…f63dbacked Over60c18.23$11 inLost-$10.941838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.