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Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Gabriela Knutson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gabriela Knutsonof Shuai Zhang, Gabriela Knutson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x545d…c122backed Shuai Zhang3c6,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Shuai Zhang71c3,443$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.833,74942.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L-44.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gabriela Knutson78c2,305$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.865,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gabriela Knutson31c1,845$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.659,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriela Knutson33c962.51$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.176,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shuai Zhang73c911.91$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.693,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabriela Knutson52c872.93$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.843,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Shuai Zhang72c859.89$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.124,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2510…7a97backed Gabriela Knutson28c797.18$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.917622.4%17 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Shuai Zhang50c714$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Gabriela Knutson42c713.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5721049.5%104 W · 106 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Gabriela Knutson28c703.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.241,37538.3%527 W · 848 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Shuai Zhang52c600$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Gabriela Knutson28c594.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7118542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gabriela Knutson49c516.84$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.084,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed Shuai Zhang72c497.01$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.858844.3%39 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Shuai Zhang35c397.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391,78848.8%872 W · 916 L+31.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Shuai Zhang71c368.61$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7119043.2%82 W · 108 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shuai Zhang59c358.74$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.038,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gabriela Knutson60c340.19$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.751,78946.3%828 W · 961 L-6.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Shuai Zhang66c303.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,86248.3%900 W · 962 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Gabriela Knutson72c275$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7719268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Shuai Zhang60c209.32$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514536.6%53 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Shuai Zhang21c201.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8170537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Gabriela Knutson29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1425545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Gabriela Knutson41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.931,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shuai Zhang28c179.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.229,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Shuai Zhang45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.528437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shuai Zhang69c173.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.422,89939.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Shuai Zhang26c165.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Gabriela Knutson60c163.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3579248.5%384 W · 408 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Gabriela Knutson46c155.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.491,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Shuai Zhang33c154.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Gabriela Knutson78c148.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.461,83746.5%855 W · 982 L+20.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Gabriela Knutson28c139.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Shuai Zhang33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Gabriela Knutson37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1461742%259 W · 358 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Gabriela Knutson76c123.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.794,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Gabriela Knutson53c122.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,07954.9%592 W · 487 L+14.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gabriela Knutson27c120.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.712,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…ec00backed Shuai Zhang72c116.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.654645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Gabriela Knutson68c109.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Gabriela Knutson28c107.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6355941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Gabriela Knutson68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3236961.8%228 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Shuai Zhang60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Gabriela Knutson66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Shuai Zhang54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5491334.2%312 W · 601 L-44.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Shuai Zhang28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Gabriela Knutson67c97.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.041,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Shuai Zhang32c88.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.181,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1b…b786backed Shuai Zhang63c84.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Shuai Zhang33c83.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.792,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Gabriela Knutson33c80.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.492,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Gabriela Knutson63c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4360452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Shuai Zhang38c78.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.313,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Shuai Zhang72c72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.841,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Gabriela Knutson28c72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.848252.4%43 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x281c…28aebacked Shuai Zhang72c70.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Gabriela Knutson62c69.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281,30665.3%853 W · 453 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Gabriela Knutson34c65.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Shuai Zhang80c62.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0223581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Shuai Zhang59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.495047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d6…7a07backed Gabriela Knutson51c54.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.777100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Shuai Zhang20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015416.2%25 W · 129 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Shuai Zhang33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557736.7%212 W · 365 L-2.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe762…4f6abacked Gabriela Knutson43c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.043360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shuai Zhang33c41.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.696,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Shuai Zhang72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Gabriela Knutson34c38.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.431,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Shuai Zhang46c38.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.791,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Gabriela Knutson61c36.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.181,89257.5%1,087 W · 805 L+105.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Shuai Zhang51c33.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1547952%249 W · 230 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked Gabriela Knutson60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a1…296fbacked Gabriela Knutson62c30.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Shuai Zhang51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Shuai Zhang51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.339751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc8…6c89backed Shuai Zhang68c29.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Shuai Zhang56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6352552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Gabriela Knutson46c25.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Shuai Zhang77c24.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8838674.6%288 W · 98 L+1.4wins0.00per pick74cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Shuai Zhang65c23.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2533762.9%212 W · 125 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Shuai Zhang72c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6731664.9%205 W · 111 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabriela Knutson50c20.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.016,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Shuai Zhang73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Shuai Zhang72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Shuai Zhang60c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Shuai Zhang80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Shuai Zhang59c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bf…24b9backed Shuai Zhang72c16.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213276.5%101 W · 31 L+13.9wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.