Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Hijikata
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff0d4c7c6f18af75f9cb0d62970cbc870d7564156d700f8ea043d0e780fa32c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Hijikata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Hijikata | 9c | 11,614$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.29 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Hijikata | 0c | 10,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hijikata | 9c | 3,152$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hijikata | 15c | 2,205$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hijikata | 9c | 2,105$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Hijikata | 2c | 1,530$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Shelton | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Hijikata | 19c | 1,098$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hijikata | 5c | 1,091$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hijikata | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…5b10backed Hijikata | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shelton | 78c | 977.27$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…270abacked Shelton | 80c | 805$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 80c | 718.75$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Hijikata | 5c | 642$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Shelton | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Hijikata | 8c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hijikata | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Shelton | 80c | 586.86$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hijikata | 19c | 526$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hijikata | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hijikata | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Shelton | 79c | 449.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hijikata | 20c | 392.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hijikata | 6c | 278$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Shelton | 80c | 273$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Hijikata | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hijikata | 21c | 200.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hijikata | 19c | 196.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…d804backed Shelton | 80c | 195$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Hijikata | 10c | 139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Shelton | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…3ff7backed Shelton | 80c | 122.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Hijikata | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Hijikata | 21c | 108.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Hijikata | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hijikata | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Hijikata | 21c | 94.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Hijikata | 13c | 91.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Shelton | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Shelton | 80c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.