NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2224f99e004bd07705a12a5c7a6a007d6a4cddd6909f44f36a693084047a8da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Bulls, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 1c | 4,406$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Bulls | 23c | 4,352$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 77c | 4,242$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.72 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 21c | 3,750$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.49 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 79c | 3,341$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.55 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 21c | 3,050$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bulls | 9c | 2,784$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Bulls | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Magic | 79c | 1,715$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 18c | 1,703$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls | 1c | 1,506$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 80c | 1,490$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.95 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…e1a5backed Bulls | 23c | 1,462$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Magic | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Magic | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Magic | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Bulls | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Bulls | 3c | 901.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Magic | 78c | 811.25$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Magic | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Bulls | 19c | 749.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Bulls | 20c | 718.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 10c | 663.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 77c | 635.43$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Bulls | 23c | 634.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls | 18c | 618.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 8c | 587.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Bulls | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls | 24c | 525$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Bulls | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 4c | 415$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…9f67backed Bulls | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Bulls | 21c | 380.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Bulls | 6c | 350.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Bulls | 13c | 350$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls | 23c | 332.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Bulls | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Bulls | 10c | 299.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Bulls | 18c | 274.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Bulls | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Bulls | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Bulls | 21c | 241.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Bulls | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Bulls | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 78c | 210.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 77c | 207.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 76c | 206.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Bulls | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bulls | 9c | 184.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 80c | 184.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Bulls | 20c | 179.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…9760backed Bulls | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Magic | 79c | 159.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bulls | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Bulls | 20c | 148.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…255ebacked Magic | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Magic | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…ee8dbacked Bulls | 9c | 127.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bulls | 18c | 126.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Bulls | 24c | 108.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…6d6dbacked Magic | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…773bbacked Bulls | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Bulls | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…afc5backed Bulls | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bulls | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Bulls | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Bulls | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Bulls | 24c | 84.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Bulls | 23c | 76.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…d75dbacked Bulls | 25c | 74.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed Bulls | 22c | 65.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Magic | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bulls | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Magic | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed Magic | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Magic | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Magic | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Magic | 75c | 50.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Bulls | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Bulls | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Bulls | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Bulls | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Bulls | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…770cbacked Magic | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 71c | 48.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Magic | 77c | 47.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Magic | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Magic | 79c | 35.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Bulls | 31c | 34.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Magic | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Magic | 76c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Magic | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…28d6backed Magic | 59c | 29.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.