CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a55128bcb43c69e37124811cf97a1fe0723725aaf2158215ab8110702701da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof Lavked, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lavked | 62c | 20,378$12,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,642.41 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked megoshort | 43c | 11,238$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.32 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed megoshort | 34c | 7,027$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 57c | 6,495$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lavked | 42c | 5,176$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.96 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed megoshort | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed megoshort | 27c | 2,398$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.34 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed megoshort | 61c | 2,067$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.29 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed megoshort | 33c | 1,780$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.89 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 42c | 1,602$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.69 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Lavked | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed megoshort | 32c | 1,499$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed megoshort | 37c | 1,403$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.47 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 58c | 1,312$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Lavked | 57c | 1,298$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Lavked | 2c | 1,217$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked megoshort | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed megoshort | 27c | 1,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 32c | 1,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed megoshort | 27c | 923.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.81 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 49c | 902.93$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.34 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed megoshort | 33c | 828.92$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed megoshort | 25c | 820$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.8 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed megoshort | 46c | 693.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed megoshort | 29c | 687.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked megoshort | 38c | 669.22$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.22 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed megoshort | 32c | 666$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.42 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed megoshort | 37c | 660.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lavked | 69c | 545.1$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.69 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked megoshort | 47c | 541.28$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lavked | 63c | 487.23$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Lavked | 62c | 455.32$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Lavked | 55c | 455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed megoshort | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked megoshort | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked megoshort | 27c | 420$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 63c | 412.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked megoshort | 73c | 353.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed megoshort | 33c | 351$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed megoshort | 59c | 332.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 60c | 328.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 75c | 321.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked megoshort | 60c | 320.45$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed megoshort | 38c | 295.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed megoshort | 53c | 253.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Lavked | 47c | 178.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Lavked | 65c | 178.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked megoshort | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Lavked | 48c | 142.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed megoshort | 36c | 137.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Lavked | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 60c | 134.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lavked | 43c | 123.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed megoshort | 40c | 113.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked megoshort | 25c | 111.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed megoshort | 46c | 107.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked megoshort | 56c | 100.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lavked | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed megoshort | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Lavked | 70c | 95.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked megoshort | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked megoshort | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Lavked | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lavked | 57c | 71.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed megoshort | 45c | 66.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Lavked | 67c | 66.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Lavked | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked megoshort | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Lavked | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed megoshort | 27c | 47.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a2c5backed Lavked | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed megoshort | 66c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Lavked | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Lavked | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed megoshort | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lavked | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked megoshort | 74c | 33.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lavked | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…b8ecbacked megoshort | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Lavked | 78c | 30.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked megoshort | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lavked | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked megoshort | 54c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Lavked | 52c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Lavked | 70c | 19.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed megoshort | 74c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsmegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Map Handicap: LAVK (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.