CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72459b2ddb156817099a0fd6cbce8a66431a43dae1ef23421e0a4e26578ec27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof Lavked, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lavked | 42c | 9,681$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.75 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…8e00backed megoshort | 58c | 6,992$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed megoshort | 62c | 4,448$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.04 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked megoshort | 44c | 3,945$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked megoshort | 31c | 3,454$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.44 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked megoshort | 65c | 2,951$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.89 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lavked | 53c | 2,746$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.54 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed megoshort | 54c | 2,700$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.06 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed megoshort | 48c | 2,557$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed Lavked | 18c | 2,517$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 45c | 2,245$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.44 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Lavked | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…0806backed megoshort | 51c | 2,010$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed megoshort | 48c | 1,888$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.07 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Lavked | 52c | 1,851$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.83 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Lavked | 58c | 1,789$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.39 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 30c | 1,755$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed megoshort | 44c | 1,744$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.74 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed megoshort | 55c | 1,743$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.86 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 59c | 1,692$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.94 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed megoshort | 60c | 1,605$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.21 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Lavked | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…36afbacked Lavked | 43c | 1,349$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Lavked | 67c | 1,106$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed megoshort | 56c | 1,069$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.7 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lavked | 59c | 1,055$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.4 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Lavked | 39c | 1,012$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked megoshort | 61c | 999.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed megoshort | 62c | 937.6$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Lavked | 49c | 921.08$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lavked | 64c | 842.75$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.14 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 43c | 836.6$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Lavked | 61c | 820.01$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort | 53c | 786.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Lavked | 55c | 766.89$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Lavked | 41c | 688.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 37c | 665.66$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 68c | 649.18$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Lavked | 50c | 635$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…a889backed megoshort | 61c | 632.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed megoshort | 43c | 614.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed megoshort | 45c | 599.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.32 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 33c | 566.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…6e78backed Lavked | 25c | 519$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Lavked | 57c | 514.57$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Lavked | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked megoshort | 68c | 503.76$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Lavked | 41c | 502.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed megoshort | 48c | 500$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 43c | 484.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed megoshort | 61c | 479.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed megoshort | 43c | 470.11$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…a733backed megoshort | 66c | 455$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…b842backed Lavked | 44c | 447.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…abf6backed megoshort | 65c | 440.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…8c2cbacked megoshort | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked megoshort | 50c | 402.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked | 38c | 395.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed megoshort | 55c | 390.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 35c | 388.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Lavked | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lavked | 70c | 354.02$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Lavked | 64c | 353$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lavked | 55c | 352.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed megoshort | 57c | 348.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed Lavked | 58c | 345.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Lavked | 35c | 340.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed megoshort | 51c | 336.3$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…91f2backed Lavked | 15c | 334.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Lavked | 40c | 329.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Lavked | 40c | 327.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked megoshort | 57c | 317.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed megoshort | 65c | 306.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Lavked | 56c | 302.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed megoshort | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lavked | 60c | 300$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed megoshort | 50c | 297.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Lavked | 39c | 280.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lavked | 44c | 272.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed megoshort | 57c | 262.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…c47bbacked Lavked | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…4607backed megoshort | 75c | 237$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 44c | 233.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed megoshort | 42c | 232.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…2197backed megoshort | 75c | 232$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked megoshort | 54c | 232$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Lavked | 66c | 222.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed megoshort | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed megoshort | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lavked | 53c | 207.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Lavked | 48c | 205.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Lavked | 40c | 200.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed megoshort | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed megoshort | 50c | 199.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Lavked | 40c | 189.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed megoshort | 57c | 183.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 23c | 181$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked megoshort | 52c | 167$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked megoshort | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Map Handicap: LAVK (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.