Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Marvin Moeller vs Marat Sharipov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f8f7cf90f1b9e534959fedb44a591dfac0d37772d133b45ed4bdda77c5343a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marvin Moellerof Marvin Moeller, Marat Sharipov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marat Sharipov | 42c | 1,625$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marvin Moeller | 27c | 1,038$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.84 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Marvin Moeller | 65c | 1,027$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.93 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Marat Sharipov | 40c | 655.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marvin Moeller | 70c | 619.64$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marat Sharipov | 6c | 545.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marat Sharipov | 32c | 497.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Marat Sharipov | 53c | 437.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Marat Sharipov | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 392.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marvin Moeller | 55c | 330.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marat Sharipov | 54c | 291.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marvin Moeller | 61c | 238.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Marat Sharipov | 44c | 218$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Marat Sharipov | 53c | 215.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Marvin Moeller | 47c | 215$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Marvin Moeller | 15c | 211$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Marvin Moeller | 47c | 210.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marat Sharipov | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Marat Sharipov | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Marat Sharipov | 55c | 174.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Marat Sharipov | 37c | 171.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Marvin Moeller | 80c | 168$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Marat Sharipov | 51c | 163.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Marvin Moeller | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Marvin Moeller | 65c | 151.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Marat Sharipov | 55c | 151.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Marat Sharipov | 69c | 140.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marvin Moeller | 47c | 126.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Marat Sharipov | 40c | 126.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Marat Sharipov | 29c | 112.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 109.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Marvin Moeller | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marat Sharipov | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Marat Sharipov | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marat Sharipov | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Marat Sharipov | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marat Sharipov | 61c | 94.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Marvin Moeller | 66c | 94.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marvin Moeller | 72c | 93.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marat Sharipov | 38c | 88.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Marvin Moeller | 67c | 78.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marat Sharipov | 38c | 76.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Marvin Moeller | 26c | 66.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Marat Sharipov | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Marat Sharipov | 45c | 59.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Marvin Moeller | 64c | 56.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marat Sharipov | 30c | 55.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Marvin Moeller | 61c | 55.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Marat Sharipov | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Marat Sharipov | 40c | 49.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Marat Sharipov | 34c | 48.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marat Sharipov | 54c | 45.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Marat Sharipov | 49c | 45.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Marat Sharipov | 29c | 45.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Marat Sharipov | 69c | 39.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Marvin Moeller | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Marat Sharipov | 53c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marat Sharipov | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Marat Sharipov | 36c | 33.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 33.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marat Sharipov | 35c | 32.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Marvin Moeller | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Marat Sharipov | 69c | 30.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed74…d5debacked Marat Sharipov | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Marvin Moeller | 46c | 28.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marvin Moeller | 46c | 27.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marvin Moeller | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.