TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Olle Wallin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Olle Wallin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Valentin Royer65c18,806$12,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,668.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Olle Wallin24c12,849$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Valentin Royer73c9,605$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.9294068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Olle Wallin58c8,524$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.1120444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Olle Wallin26c8,186$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.574,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Olle Wallin11c5,945$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.971,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Valentin Royer58c3,813$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.274,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Royer72c3,200$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.658,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valentin Royer72c2,330$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.538,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Olle Wallin21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Valentin Royer38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7912150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Valentin Royer79c1,090$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.91,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Olle Wallin21c1,026$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.443,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Olle Wallin31c999.63$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.039,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Valentin Royer74c983.36$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.114,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Olle Wallin28c952.97$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Valentin Royer43c938$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.771,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Valentin Royer42c714.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.522647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Valentin Royer45c618.11$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Olle Wallin27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019051.6%98 W · 92 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Valentin Royer36c525$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.126355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Valentin Royer41c503$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2828221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Olle Wallin27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Valentin Royer36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Olle Wallin63c497.12$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.674,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Olle Wallin30c488.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7592145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Olle Wallin46c484.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.064,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Valentin Royer78c450.75$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.531,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Olle Wallin71c436.24$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7326134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Olle Wallin38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Valentin Royer61c326.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.261,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Valentin Royer58c288.8$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.33,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Olle Wallin36c287.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.941,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Olle Wallin20c284.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.886,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Olle Wallin11c284.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2980153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Olle Wallin45c276.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.241,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Olle Wallin46c268.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.412,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Olle Wallin20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa1…f9f9backed Valentin Royer80c251.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Olle Wallin41c235.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.444349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Valentin Royer45c221.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2288935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Valentin Royer45c220.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5442930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Valentin Royer74c213.95$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.872,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Olle Wallin9c213.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Olle Wallin56c193$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8697852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Valentin Royer56c191$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.041,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Valentin Royer79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8791754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Olle Wallin51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Olle Wallin38c178.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.016,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Olle Wallin22c173.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.261,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Olle Wallin42c170.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.43,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Valentin Royer76c164.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2854141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Valentin Royer71c160.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.952155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab8…8872backed Valentin Royer64c157.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Olle Wallin43c155.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Valentin Royer58c138$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9627836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Valentin Royer71c136.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6422567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Olle Wallin46c136.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Olle Wallin60c136.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.611,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Valentin Royer56c134.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2143347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Valentin Royer80c129.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.934761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Valentin Royer71c125.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3531443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Olle Wallin21c122.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Olle Wallin43c115.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Olle Wallin39c113.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.351,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Olle Wallin41c104.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Olle Wallin36c104.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.822,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Valentin Royer65c101.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3718261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Valentin Royer53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4736053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Valentin Royer60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9430040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Olle Wallin46c93.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.755,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Valentin Royer60c93.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3328348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Olle Wallin42c91.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Valentin Royer78c84.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Olle Wallin20c82.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5890152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Olle Wallin54c82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.341,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Olle Wallin62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Valentin Royer43c78.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8314644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Olle Wallin29c78.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Olle Wallin46c72.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.426,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Olle Wallin45c71.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Valentin Royer56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.844949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Olle Wallin65c69.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.191,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Olle Wallin41c66.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Olle Wallin63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.325,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Valentin Royer39c63.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.118446.4%39 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Valentin Royer79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2937262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Valentin Royer80c62.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.744973.5%36 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Valentin Royer71c61.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9728055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Olle Wallin32c61.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Olle Wallin21c59.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Valentin Royer54c58.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7618038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Olle Wallin27c56.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155228.8%15 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Valentin Royer78c51.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Valentin Royer57c50.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Olle Wallin40c49.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9943444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Valentin Royer59c49.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8739159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentin Royer78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.787,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Valentin Royer65c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1531164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Valentin Royer40c48.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8882958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.