Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Emily Appleton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2468d85235d612335423777e1c763af11d5280f7c21c8d59e36cd23112f6b5c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peyton Stearnsof Peyton Stearns, Emily Appleton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Peyton Stearns | 68c | 3,995$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.06 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emily Appleton | 30c | 3,351$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.52 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Emily Appleton | 9c | 2,703$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Emily Appleton | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Peyton Stearns | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Peyton Stearns | 78c | 917.7$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Emily Appleton | 25c | 700.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Peyton Stearns | 80c | 562.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Emily Appleton | 8c | 383.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Emily Appleton | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Emily Appleton | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Peyton Stearns | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Emily Appleton | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Emily Appleton | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Emily Appleton | 21c | 184.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Peyton Stearns | 79c | 184.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 444 | 52.5%233 W · 211 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…9fddbacked Emily Appleton | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Peyton Stearns | 76c | 178.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Emily Appleton | 20c | 164.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Emily Appleton | 26c | 160.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Emily Appleton | 17c | 155.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Emily Appleton | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Peyton Stearns | 78c | 142$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Emily Appleton | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Emily Appleton | 22c | 114.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Emily Appleton | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Emily Appleton | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Emily Appleton | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Peyton Stearns | 76c | 80.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Emily Appleton | 21c | 78.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Peyton Stearns | 80c | 77.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Emily Appleton | 35c | 71.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Peyton Stearns | 75c | 69.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Emily Appleton | 19c | 60.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Peyton Stearns | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Peyton Stearns | 79c | 45.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Peyton Stearns | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Emily Appleton | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Peyton Stearns | 79c | 26.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 244 | 74.2%181 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peyton Stearns | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Peyton Stearns | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Peyton Stearns | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Peyton Stearns | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Emily Appletonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Stearns vs AppletonStearns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.