TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Yakutou Brothers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers18c4,897$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.142,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Yakutou Brothers17c4,257$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.0110342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Yakutou Brothers14c3,123$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.831,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Yakutou Brothers17c2,992$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.2720949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Yakutou Brothers18c2,231$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.761,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Yakutou Brothers16c1,843$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8819147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers19c1,526$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.051,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yakutou Brothers30c1,350$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BetBoom Team77c1,166$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5133845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yakutou Brothers15c846.12$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Yakutou Brothers19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15231245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yakutou Brothers20c539.36$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4814453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers23c528.17$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.962,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakutou Brothers15c527$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8777458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6859250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yakutou Brothers31c318.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Yakutou Brothers32c296$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.084443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team74c295.44$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.521,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed Yakutou Brothers19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team70c245.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Yakutou Brothers14c222.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed BetBoom Team78c210.58$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5826957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Yakutou Brothers34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6822954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Yakutou Brothers18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Yakutou Brothers32c161.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed Yakutou Brothers17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513449.3%66 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed Yakutou Brothers11c131.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.656547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Yakutou Brothers24c126.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6619664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed BetBoom Team73c120.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.996566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yakutou Brothers15c113.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.357654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Yakutou Brothers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Yakutou Brothers33c93.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yakutou Brothers11c92.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.015318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Yakutou Brothers19c88.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Yakutou Brothers30c72.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.785549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yakutou Brothers23c70.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yakutou Brothers30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2163032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakutou Brothers31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.372,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yakutou Brothers19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Yakutou Brothers22c56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Yakutou Brothers28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked BetBoom Team75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked BetBoom Team76c44.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7820452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked BetBoom Team78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6411857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed BetBoom Team72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.