Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2666d90df5a06d55accbaad139858fe645be5d006e9dff600bb0047bbccdce46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Samsonof Laura Samson, Darja Semenistaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 18,895$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.79 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darja Semenistaja | 14c | 8,977$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Laura Samson | 72c | 6,441$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 13c | 3,320$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Laura Samson | 63c | 3,189$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.08 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 15c | 2,638$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Laura Samson | 54c | 2,162$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.42 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Darja Semenistaja | 20c | 1,565$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Darja Semenistaja | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Laura Samson | 65c | 1,405$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.38 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Darja Semenistaja | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Darja Semenistaja | 28c | 888.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Darja Semenistaja | 9c | 883.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Darja Semenistaja | 28c | 735.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Darja Semenistaja | 21c | 695.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 655.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Laura Samson | 71c | 609$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.62 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Laura Samson | 80c | 608.68$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Laura Samson | 69c | 524.04$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laura Samson | 70c | 510.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Darja Semenistaja | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 13c | 491.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 418.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Laura Samson | 56c | 416.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Laura Samson | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 26c | 384.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Darja Semenistaja | 12c | 349.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Laura Samson | 64c | 312.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Darja Semenistaja | 27c | 305.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darja Semenistaja | 22c | 292.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Laura Samson | 75c | 286.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Darja Semenistaja | 46c | 286$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Darja Semenistaja | 18c | 244.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Darja Semenistaja | 14c | 243.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Darja Semenistaja | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Laura Samson | 53c | 221.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Darja Semenistaja | 10c | 212.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Darja Semenistaja | 41c | 209.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Darja Semenistaja | 9c | 194.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Darja Semenistaja | 6c | 191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Darja Semenistaja | 47c | 190.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Laura Samson | 55c | 174$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Laura Samson | 78c | 171.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…37b1backed Laura Samson | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 158.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Darja Semenistaja | 38c | 156.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Laura Samson | 66c | 150.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Darja Semenistaja | 46c | 144.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a201backed Darja Semenistaja | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Darja Semenistaja | 38c | 135.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Darja Semenistaja | 29c | 134.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Laura Samson | 75c | 131.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Laura Samson | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Darja Semenistaja | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 19c | 110.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 9c | 108.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Darja Semenistaja | 16c | 105.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Darja Semenistaja | 45c | 100.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Darja Semenistaja | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Laura Samson | 75c | 99.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Laura Samson | 74c | 94.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Darja Semenistaja | 15c | 85.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Laura Samson | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…9be0backed Laura Samson | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 70.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Darja Semenistaja | 48c | 62.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Darja Semenistaja | 18c | 59.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Darja Semenistaja | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Laura Samson | 54c | 43.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 43.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Laura Samson | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Laura Samson | 77c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Laura Samson | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Darja Semenistaja | 46c | 32.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Laura Samson | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Laura Samson | 74c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Laura Samson | 55c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Laura Samson | 80c | 20.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Laura Samson | 71c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Laura Samson | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Laura Samson | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Laura Samson | 64c | 19.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…d200backed Laura Samson | 77c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistajathis page
- Samson vs. Semenistaja: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.