South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e07fdc62ec5fa39715aa549c233c319074010b558ba9bc67be5aa834efb2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 70c | 6,182$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.55 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 3,647$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.92 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 3,512$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,317$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.66 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 2,232$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,607$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.08 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,303$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 1,261$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.26 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,147$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,064$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,018$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 2c | 959.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 30c | 667.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 508.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Yes | 2c | 457.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 34c | 454.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 30c | 434$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 302.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 78c | 300.65$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 33c | 260.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 28c | 249.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 244.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 36c | 242.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 233$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 64c | 203.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 192.89$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 28c | 173.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 134.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 129.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 34c | 122.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 107$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 98.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 78c | 67.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 30c | 53.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 52.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 27c | 49.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 48.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 39.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 35c | 30.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.