Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272a0137f5f4facb3b74c5e8eaba0bee1ddf86231462f054a33c3e43f1680ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,571$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 829.53$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 13c | 781.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 554.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…46febacked Yes | 4c | 449.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 5c | 393.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 7c | 299.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 6c | 278.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked Yes | 11c | 275.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 274.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 71c | 259.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 6c | 233.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 13c | 222.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 221.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 38c | 219.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 6c | 208.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 12c | 207.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 193.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked Yes | 40c | 188.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 13c | 185.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed No | 77c | 183.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 170.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 24c | 165.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 164.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 12c | 162.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 6c | 159.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 78c | 154.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…3cfabacked Yes | 10c | 149.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 13c | 149.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 13c | 140.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked No | 61c | 139.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 78c | 138.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 12c | 134.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…cb18backed Yes | 14c | 129.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 124.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 118.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 76c | 117.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 66c | 115.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 76c | 115.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeec…3686backed Yes | 13c | 114.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2155backed Yes | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 10c | 104.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…07e5backed Yes | 13c | 101.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 15c | 98.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 75c | 87.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…120dbacked Yes | 19c | 85.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 68c | 82.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 22c | 78.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 27c | 73.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…2407backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…f0ffbacked Yes | 17c | 61.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 28c | 52.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 76c | 52.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…93c2backed No | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 35c | 49.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 42.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 74c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…8033backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…7266backed No | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.