Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4889215569c737bf586362d3b5600eaccf9a78b280dce64b2a69021058e98c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 14c | 554.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 77c | 442.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 429.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 5c | 428.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 391.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 7c | 366.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 29c | 344.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…3cfabacked Yes | 8c | 343.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 32c | 314.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 80c | 214.72$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 22c | 194.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 7c | 194.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 14c | 171.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 70c | 167.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 21c | 163.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes | 19c | 159.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 158.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 24c | 156$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 20c | 151.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 148.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 145.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 14c | 129.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 31c | 128.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 119.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…0db3backed Yes | 45c | 111.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 20c | 105.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 103.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 34c | 103.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 28c | 102.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…07e5backed Yes | 10c | 100.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 77c | 100.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 11c | 95.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…5b01backed No | 67c | 92.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 90.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 16c | 77.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 67c | 77.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 76.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 29c | 75.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 75c | 75.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 65c | 72.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 20c | 67.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 73c | 67.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 74c | 64.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 64.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…9096backed Yes | 25c | 63.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 19c | 61.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 31c | 57.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 57.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 56.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 54.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 27c | 53.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 79c | 52.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…120dbacked Yes | 30c | 52.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 32c | 50.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 76c | 50.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3364…5effbacked Yes | 23c | 49.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…af98backed No | 67c | 41.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 28c | 40.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 34c | 36.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…e85cbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 42c | 29.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…717bbacked No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…35e9backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 66c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 75c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed No | 76c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.