Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5f721a12c66343096e3da109b1092eafe44ad103defc80435be04c1aa0db2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 1c | 2,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 41c | 662.23$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.13 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 24c | 456.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 25c | 444.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 377.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 24c | 372.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 25c | 342.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 319.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked No | 3c | 311.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 309.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 38c | 264.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 198.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 197$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 24c | 186.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 183.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Yes | 30c | 176.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 78c | 168.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 36c | 163.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 162.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 25c | 156.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 144.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 31c | 136.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 16c | 132.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 16c | 129.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 128.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…c718backed Yes | 29c | 119.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 24c | 118.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 39c | 116.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 38c | 114.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 112.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 110.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 16c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 107$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 57c | 105.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 74c | 104.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 41c | 104.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 30c | 103.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 37c | 100.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 98.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…5941backed Yes | 19c | 97.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 97.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 64c | 96.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 94.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 90.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 89.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 25c | 87.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 79c | 85.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…1e8abacked Yes | 18c | 81.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.34per pick | 34cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 25c | 81.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…9096backed Yes | 23c | 77.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 16c | 74.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…31b6backed Yes | 20c | 74.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…1b53backed Yes | 29c | 69.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 69.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…120dbacked Yes | 28c | 69.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 20c | 68.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 19c | 66.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 64.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 19c | 60.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 79c | 60.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 27c | 59.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 69c | 59.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 59c | 59.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c1…12cebacked Yes | 30c | 57.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…c1e6backed Yes | 37c | 56.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 19c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 59c | 53.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 40c | 49.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 32c | 46.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 44c | 44.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…d969backed Yes | 25c | 44.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 25c | 40.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…59e0backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…bdb4backed Yes | 76c | 39.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 37c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 42c | 33.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 71c | 32.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…e85cbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 79c | 29.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.