Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28498c091f998ec4527c7046f02365c9c4e119f66f48a7de2464b499b81afee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Bowling Green Falcons, Toledo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Toledo Rockets | 49c | 3,160$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 2,277$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.74 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toledo Rockets | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Bowling Green Falcons | 58c | 1,252$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Toledo Rockets | 16c | 1,233$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 52c | 825.65$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Bowling Green Falcons | 50c | 590.35$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Toledo Rockets | 50c | 446$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 391$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 377.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Toledo Rockets | 59c | 339.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Toledo Rockets | 12c | 335.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toledo Rockets | 10c | 293.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 287.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 283.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Toledo Rockets | 26c | 259.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toledo Rockets | 56c | 236.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Bowling Green Falcons | 50c | 212$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 208.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Toledo Rockets | 32c | 185$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 61c | 183.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Toledo Rockets | 16c | 179.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Toledo Rockets | 64c | 164.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Bowling Green Falcons | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 145.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Toledo Rockets | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ad4abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Toledo Rockets | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 57c | 121.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 61c | 88.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Toledo Rockets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 76.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Bowling Green Falcons | 32c | 63.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…ec33backed Bowling Green Falcons | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Toledo Rockets | 34c | 47.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Toledo Rockets | 51c | 42.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…96f6backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 37.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Toledo Rockets | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsthis page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 157.5Under won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.