Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mogyorod: Cara Korhonen vs Kitti Molnar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x288b8cfd215dff24cea411429959b30ea05ccec271eec1fc6852ecc01295350d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cara Korhonenof Cara Korhonen, Kitti Molnar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kitti Molnar | 58c | 1,341$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Cara Korhonen | 26c | 1,269$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cara Korhonen | 26c | 963.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cara Korhonen | 48c | 702.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Cara Korhonen | 42c | 395.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kitti Molnar | 73c | 285.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Kitti Molnar | 76c | 205.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cara Korhonen | 53c | 180.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kitti Molnar | 76c | 158$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kitti Molnar | 10c | 148.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kitti Molnar | 71c | 148.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kitti Molnar | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Kitti Molnar | 69c | 118.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kitti Molnar | 74c | 118$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Cara Korhonen | 24c | 103.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kitti Molnar | 44c | 102.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cara Korhonen | 50c | 99.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cara Korhonen | 36c | 89.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Cara Korhonen | 36c | 89.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kitti Molnar | 34c | 88.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Cara Korhonen | 36c | 79.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kitti Molnar | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kitti Molnar | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kitti Molnar | 66c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Cara Korhonen | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Cara Korhonen | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Cara Korhonen | 36c | 48.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cara Korhonen | 28c | 45.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kitti Molnar | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Cara Korhonen | 38c | 41.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cara Korhonen | 55c | 40.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Kitti Molnar | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Cara Korhonen | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kitti Molnar | 76c | 34.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kitti Molnar | 36c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Cara Korhonen | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Cara Korhonen | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Cara Korhonen | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Kitti Molnar | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kitti Molnar | 73c | 24.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cara Korhonen | 76c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Cara Korhonen | 58c | 20.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Kitti Molnar | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kitti Molnar | 74c | 15.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.