Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. Dplus KIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2928308add8ce3350ec74c922dd32fd01bbbfbe1af8458afa3884ac2a2e29cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof BNK FEARX, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 43,960$16,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,966.38 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 43,588$26,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,051.77 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed BNK FEARX | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 8,100$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 7,010$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Dplus KIA | 62c | 5,232$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.41 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 2,515$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.88 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Dplus KIA | 61c | 2,371$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.76 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 19c | 2,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed BNK FEARX | 20c | 1,726$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA | 64c | 1,697$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 1,659$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.59 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 1,329$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.14 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Dplus KIA | 60c | 1,026$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.55 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 887.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Dplus KIA | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 663.22$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 59c | 512.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 447.29$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dplus KIA | 63c | 432.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 396.51$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Dplus KIA | 60c | 383.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BNK FEARX | 7c | 367.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked BNK FEARX | 37c | 319.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 317.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dplus KIA | 64c | 312.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c486backed BNK FEARX | 16c | 189.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 175$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 163.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked BNK FEARX | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 141.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed BNK FEARX | 22c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 130.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 107.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 98.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 86.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked BNK FEARX | 23c | 85.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 77.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Dplus KIA | 61c | 65.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Dplus KIA | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…c388backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Dplus KIA | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…5b04backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…af34backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.