Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9541bc582ea18c4cdbb1850152920b441da516f0f5b0a6ba6db5e447143199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaaf…1155backed No | 1c | 2,593$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 1,529$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 60c | 1,401$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.23 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 28c | 877.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.7 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 80c | 870.82$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 633.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 32c | 467.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 80c | 404.28$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 353$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 313.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 47c | 313.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 15c | 306.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 292.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 24c | 258.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 10c | 252.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 227.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 79c | 215.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 37c | 205.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 54c | 201.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 12c | 199.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 18c | 187.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed No | 30c | 152.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…5bd4backed Yes | 30c | 151.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 386 | 33.4%129 W · 257 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 52c | 150.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed Yes | 24c | 147.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 27c | 146.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 30c | 139.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 19c | 138.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 22c | 133.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed Yes | 49c | 131.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 36c | 130.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 63c | 128.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 122.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…ac39backed Yes | 9c | 118.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 47c | 114.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 78c | 110.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 23c | 110.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 109.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed Yes | 53c | 107.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 12c | 106.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 79c | 104.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed No | 23c | 83.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 83.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 28c | 83.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…843ebacked Yes | 23c | 69.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 75c | 66.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 65.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 63.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 59.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 55c | 59.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…4995backed Yes | 22c | 58.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 24c | 57.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 63c | 57.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 41c | 56.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 55.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 74c | 53.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 26c | 51.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 24c | 47.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 46.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 68c | 41.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…c47cbacked No | 71c | 41.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…3756backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…c3a7backed Yes | 30c | 37.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 58c | 32.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 45c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…e7dcbacked Yes | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…49a3backed Yes | 72c | 23.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…80d8backed No | 75c | 19.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 78c | 19.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 76c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 78c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.