MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aee16e91c0e1a19418d527c4d017df2057a12017864d91d1e87043e2bcc137f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Reds, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Braves | 67c | 10,000$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 31c | 6,544$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.8 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 34c | 4,247$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.66 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Reds | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 64c | 3,196$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.67 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 36c | 3,073$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.28 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 32c | 3,053$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 31c | 1,789$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Reds | 36c | 1,724$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.75 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.06 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Braves | 62c | 1,471$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.29 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Reds | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 66c | 1,046$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…4a84backed Braves | 64c | 955$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Reds | 54c | 945.27$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.45 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 73c | 921.85$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 64c | 911.11$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 77c | 887.52$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Reds | 43c | 855.14$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Reds | 35c | 844.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Reds | 24c | 833$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 46c | 771.41$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Braves | 57c | 728.33$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Braves | 76c | 659.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 69c | 651.14$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 53c | 557$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Reds | 39c | 515.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f7…c948backed Reds | 32c | 489.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 33c | 453.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Reds | 33c | 424$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Reds | 76c | 400$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Reds | 28c | 362.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Braves | 61c | 326.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Reds | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…0627backed Braves | 78c | 204.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 50c | 181.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 23c | 170.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Braves | 65c | 154.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Reds | 26c | 152.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Reds | 21c | 152$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Reds | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Reds | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Reds | 31c | 139.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 38c | 125.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Reds | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Reds | 30c | 109.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Reds | 35c | 103.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Reds | 35c | 102.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Reds | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…8f1bbacked Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Reds | 35c | 99.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 63c | 74.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…ef84backed Reds | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Reds | 28c | 66.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Braves | 66c | 60.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Braves | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Reds | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Reds | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 35c | 50.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Reds | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 39c | 42.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 46c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Reds | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Braves | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Braves | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.