Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8666475938ebdf4407d6e5fc382d065a5c87787d53661f8b72a6accb2c85cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof DePaul Blue Demons, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 8,581$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.32 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed DePaul Blue Demons | 55c | 3,154$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 2,490$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed DePaul Blue Demons | 8c | 2,204$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 13c | 2,130$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed DePaul Blue Demons | 76c | 1,882$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 4c | 1,744$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 65c | 1,183$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.9 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 7c | 850.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 53c | 595$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed DePaul Blue Demons | 57c | 512.73$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 504.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed DePaul Blue Demons | 60c | 480$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 36c | 434.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed DePaul Blue Demons | 62c | 419.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 6c | 384.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed DePaul Blue Demons | 4c | 364.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 20c | 350.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.13 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 346.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 36c | 323.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Xavier Musketeers | 16c | 320.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 243.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Xavier Musketeers | 11c | 226.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 69c | 219.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 11c | 207$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DePaul Blue Demons | 17c | 194.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 13c | 169.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 62c | 159.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 153$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed DePaul Blue Demons | 77c | 146.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers | 66c | 140.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed DePaul Blue Demons | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 102.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 98.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed DePaul Blue Demons | 56c | 90.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 30c | 69.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 60.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed DePaul Blue Demons | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Xavier Musketeers | 44c | 36.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed DePaul Blue Demons | 41c | 34.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Xavier Musketeers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed DePaul Blue Demons | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Xavier Musketeersthis page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-4.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.