Tennis · resolved market
Prague: Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii Krutykh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c93ca9f7bc7b38a2ce7d10df717bd63e2e6694b653ecffc3284d25ad785a76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oleksii Krutykhof Michael Vrbensky, Oleksii Krutykh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Vrbensky | 45c | 21,266$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.19 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Oleksii Krutykh | 48c | 20,360$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.84 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Vrbensky | 40c | 12,467$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.84 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Michael Vrbensky | 12c | 3,438$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.7 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Michael Vrbensky | 18c | 2,684$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.83 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 68c | 2,000$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.01 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oleksii Krutykh | 80c | 1,956$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.65 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Michael Vrbensky | 33c | 1,271$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.43 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 56c | 1,002$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.47 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oleksii Krutykh | 77c | 864.61$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Oleksii Krutykh | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Vrbensky | 50c | 622.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Michael Vrbensky | 48c | 423.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Michael Vrbensky | 33c | 332.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Michael Vrbensky | 14c | 299.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,842 | 44.6%822 W · 1,020 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michael Vrbensky | 19c | 299.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Michael Vrbensky | 39c | 290.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Michael Vrbensky | 34c | 286.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Michael Vrbensky | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Oleksii Krutykh | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Michael Vrbensky | 6c | 207.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Michael Vrbensky | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michael Vrbensky | 9c | 195.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…98c5backed Michael Vrbensky | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Michael Vrbensky | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -16.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Michael Vrbensky | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Michael Vrbensky | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Michael Vrbensky | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Michael Vrbensky | 28c | 150.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michael Vrbensky | 32c | 119.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Michael Vrbensky | 40c | 114.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michael Vrbensky | 40c | 114.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Michael Vrbensky | 13c | 109.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Oleksii Krutykh | 67c | 108.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Oleksii Krutykh | 62c | 106.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Oleksii Krutykh | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michael Vrbensky | 40c | 92.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…aa34backed Oleksii Krutykh | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Oleksii Krutykh | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 72c | 71.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Oleksii Krutykh | 77c | 60.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | +27.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Oleksii Krutykh | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Michael Vrbensky | 30c | 54.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Michael Vrbensky | 33c | 54.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Michael Vrbensky | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…c6b9backed Oleksii Krutykh | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Oleksii Krutykh | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Michael Vrbensky | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Oleksii Krutykh | 57c | 40.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Michael Vrbensky | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Oleksii Krutykh | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Michael Vrbensky | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 43c | 29.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Michael Vrbensky | 56c | 20.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oleksii Krutykh | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Oleksii Krutykh | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Oleksii Krutykh | 72c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Oleksii Krutykh | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 257 | 68.1%175 W · 82 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prague: Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii Krutykhthis page
- Prague, Czech Republic, Qualifying: Completed Match: Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii KrutykhYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.