TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Drake Bulldogs vs. Valparaiso Beacons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valparaiso Beaconsof Drake Bulldogs, Valparaiso Beacons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Valparaiso Beacons35c6,216$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.5549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Valparaiso Beacons62c3,781$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.172,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Valparaiso Beacons62c3,646$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.941,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Drake Bulldogs38c3,062$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.7244549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs60c2,703$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Drake Bulldogs38c2,485$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Drake Bulldogs42c1,697$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.534454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Drake Bulldogs77c1,684$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.641,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Valparaiso Beacons61c1,402$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.012,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Valparaiso Beacons67c1,375$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Valparaiso Beacons56c1,367$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.913,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Drake Bulldogs43c1,321$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8222043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Valparaiso Beacons58c1,269$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.0226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Drake Bulldogs33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Drake Bulldogs39c999.61$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7213746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Drake Bulldogs36c839.26$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs37c728.41$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Valparaiso Beacons61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Drake Bulldogs36c632.03$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valparaiso Beacons57c566.89$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.765,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Valparaiso Beacons20c563.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Drake Bulldogs52c561.3$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.331,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Valparaiso Beacons52c551.15$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Drake Bulldogs41c483.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3978052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Valparaiso Beacons31c482.47$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5923941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs59c434.81$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.243,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Drake Bulldogs37c398.34$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Valparaiso Beacons75c367.35$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Drake Bulldogs39c357.53$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8479448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Valparaiso Beacons46c325.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.456251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Valparaiso Beacons66c299.64$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.171,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valparaiso Beacons43c254.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.642,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…8a38backed Drake Bulldogs80c248.6$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons39c248.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.794,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Drake Bulldogs62c234.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Drake Bulldogs35c233.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valparaiso Beacons63c233.08$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Drake Bulldogs34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Drake Bulldogs61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Drake Bulldogs38c195.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Drake Bulldogs38c175.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.581,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Valparaiso Beacons47c169.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca7…b4adbacked Valparaiso Beacons63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Valparaiso Beacons64c154.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Valparaiso Beacons64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Valparaiso Beacons48c129.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Drake Bulldogs38c128.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.474,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Drake Bulldogs38c126.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.125052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Drake Bulldogs24c114.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1184854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Drake Bulldogs38c103.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.674042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Drake Bulldogs37c102.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Drake Bulldogs35c96.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.675349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons63c78.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Valparaiso Beacons30c77.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Drake Bulldogs32c76.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.619747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Valparaiso Beacons68c76.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3775447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Drake Bulldogs57c66.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.062,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Valparaiso Beacons63c62.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Drake Bulldogs38c58.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.243141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Valparaiso Beacons30c50.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2927055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Drake Bulldogs33c49.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Drake Bulldogs59c48.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.766566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Drake Bulldogs38c47.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0920834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Valparaiso Beacons38c47.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Valparaiso Beacons64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1719860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Valparaiso Beacons64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.439050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Valparaiso Beacons63c39.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.589470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Drake Bulldogs38c38.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.643053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Valparaiso Beacons53c33.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Valparaiso Beacons63c32.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Drake Bulldogs35c31.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.925152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Valparaiso Beacons54c26.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3135650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Valparaiso Beacons66c26.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0517945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Valparaiso Beacons57c25.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.883560%21 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Valparaiso Beacons45c23.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Valparaiso Beacons63c23.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.747865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Valparaiso Beacons65c22.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8330649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Drake Bulldogs60c22.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ec…8debbacked Valparaiso Beacons64c21.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.655657.1%32 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Drake Bulldogs58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1119522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Valparaiso Beacons65c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f08…ead2backed Valparaiso Beacons67c19.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drake Bulldogs70c19.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.