CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e47778fca1e9470aaa6eee6f4f1a08a3f8b82ace6adcf23daba46b31a1ae352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Leo Team, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 62c | 2,126$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Leo Team | 64c | 1,613$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.31 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Leo Team | 64c | 1,547$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.06 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Misa Esports | 38c | 1,394$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Misa Esports | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Misa Esports | 36c | 739.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.37 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 52c | 677.7$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.53 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Misa Esports | 36c | 364.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…de64backed Misa Esports | 37c | 359$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Leo Team | 61c | 347.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 49c | 344.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Misa Esports | 38c | 336$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Misa Esports | 51c | 334.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Leo Team | 63c | 317.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Misa Esports | 37c | 302.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Misa Esports | 36c | 252$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Misa Esports | 36c | 252$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Misa Esports | 39c | 243.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Misa Esports | 38c | 215.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 206.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…0ffebacked Misa Esports | 38c | 206$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Leo Team | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 183.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 59c | 173.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 22c | 173.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Misa Esports | 36c | 162$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Leo Team | 65c | 148.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Misa Esports | 64c | 144.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 144.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Leo Team | 40c | 134.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Misa Esports | 39c | 132$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Misa Esports | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Leo Team | 53c | 130.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 61c | 127.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 37c | 111.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Misa Esports | 35c | 108.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed Misa Esports | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 48c | 95.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 41c | 94.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Misa Esports | 38c | 94.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Leo Team | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 41c | 91.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Leo Team | 64c | 82.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leo Team | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Leo Team | 62c | 75.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Leo Team | 65c | 73.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Leo Team | 39c | 72.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Leo Team | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Leo Team | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Misa Esports | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Leo Team | 60c | 63.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Leo Team | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Leo Team | 43c | 61.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Misa Esports | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…df3abacked Misa Esports | 52c | 54.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 58c | 53.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Leo Team | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 42.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 40c | 40.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Misa Esports | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 54c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Misa Esports | 37c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Leo Team | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Misa Esports | 37c | 29.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Leo Team | 48c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Misa Esports | 59c | 26.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 43c | 23.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.