Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Valentin Basel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebd100af6ead1830b64dad2d4d0dac89ecf0fed1e81d99dfdcaf24d0cc722f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valerio Aboianof Valerio Aboian, Valentin Basel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 2,786$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.31 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 2,212$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.23 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Valentin Basel | 22c | 2,146$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 1,739$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.39 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Valerio Aboian | 78c | 1,546$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.94 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 1,428$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Valentin Basel | 4c | 1,400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Valentin Basel | 23c | 1,346$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 1,305$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Valentin Basel | 30c | 1,091$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.83 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 992.9$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Valentin Basel | 22c | 893$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Valentin Basel | 26c | 845$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 704.98$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Basel | 25c | 702.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 661.32$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valentin Basel | 22c | 600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Valentin Basel | 22c | 595.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Valerio Aboian | 76c | 562.35$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Valerio Aboian | 73c | 446.18$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Valentin Basel | 23c | 435.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Valentin Basel | 24c | 422.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Valentin Basel | 27c | 375.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian | 70c | 329.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Valerio Aboian | 75c | 309.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Valentin Basel | 23c | 272$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Valerio Aboian | 74c | 234.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Valerio Aboian | 75c | 231.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Valerio Aboian | 76c | 214$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Valentin Basel | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Valerio Aboian | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 77c | 197.09$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentin Basel | 21c | 180.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 152.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Valentin Basel | 25c | 151.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 147.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Valentin Basel | 23c | 137.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Valentin Basel | 24c | 131.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 125.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Basel | 21c | 122.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Valentin Basel | 29c | 121.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Valerio Aboian | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valerio Aboian | 74c | 111.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 110.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Valentin Basel | 28c | 107.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Valentin Basel | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Valerio Aboian | 76c | 95.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Valentin Basel | 23c | 93.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 90.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Valentin Basel | 24c | 89.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Valentin Basel | 25c | 65.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Valerio Aboian | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Valentin Basel | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Valerio Aboian | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Valentin Basel | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Valentin Basel | 26c | 45.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Valentin Basel | 25c | 41.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Valentin Basel | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Valentin Basel | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valerio Aboian | 74c | 37.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Valerio Aboian | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Valerio Aboian | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Valerio Aboian | 74c | 32.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Valerio Aboian | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Valerio Aboian | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Valerio Aboian | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…2a10backed Valerio Aboian | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Valerio Aboian | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Valerio Aboian | 79c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Valerio Aboian | 76c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valerio Aboian | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Valerio Aboian | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.