TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas State Bobcats vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas State Bobcatsof Texas State Bobcats, Georgia Southern Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Texas State Bobcats61c1,463$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.473,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Texas State Bobcats36c1,289$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.981,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas State Bobcats30c1,016$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia Southern Eagles15c897.96$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.044,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas State Bobcats38c819.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.62,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Georgia Southern Eagles40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia Southern Eagles33c438.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles62c385.11$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia Southern Eagles27c362.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.831,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Texas State Bobcats33c333.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.577451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Georgia Southern Eagles58c314.31$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.031,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Georgia Southern Eagles42c309.92$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas State Bobcats47c273.79$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.741,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Georgia Southern Eagles62c220.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.851,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c209.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Georgia Southern Eagles23c172.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.892,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Georgia Southern Eagles62c170$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.721,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Texas State Bobcats70c163$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Texas State Bobcats36c159$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas State Bobcats35c145.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.431,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas State Bobcats46c139$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Southern Eagles70c120.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Texas State Bobcats35c105.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Georgia Southern Eagles69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6938343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles38c97.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Georgia Southern Eagles41c94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Texas State Bobcats36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf5…fd4abacked Texas State Bobcats33c74.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern Eagles69c71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.663,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia Southern Eagles38c67.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles55c63.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas State Bobcats38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas State Bobcats33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Texas State Bobcats36c48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.723748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Georgia Southern Eagles46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Texas State Bobcats37c39.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5937835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Texas State Bobcats36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.327255.6%40 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Southern Eagles63c36.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.832,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Georgia Southern Eagles69c35.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.743240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Georgia Southern Eagles62c30.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Georgia Southern Eagles65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Georgia Southern Eagles64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Georgia Southern Eagles65c26.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Georgia Southern Eagles63c18.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas State Bobcats69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.