TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iga Swiatekof Caty McNally, Iga Swiatek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Caty McNally16c30,707$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.94,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Caty McNally17c25,685$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.954,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Caty McNally12c18,100$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.235030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Caty McNally18c14,965$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.716,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Caty McNally14c10,186$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.447,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Caty McNally9c8,659$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Caty McNally3c5,831$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.991,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3c…4683backed Caty McNally3c5,503$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.71464.3%2 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Caty McNally17c5,136$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.927443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Caty McNally11c4,716$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0242839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Caty McNally13c4,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Caty McNally6c3,200$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.559737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Caty McNally31c2,537$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7866336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Iga Swiatek80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50036661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Caty McNally14c2,012$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6761924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Caty McNally13c1,705$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4722842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Caty McNally7c1,540$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4872132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Caty McNally21c1,454$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Caty McNally3c1,370$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.032,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Caty McNally21c1,280$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8453655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Iga Swiatek77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2769,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Caty McNally29c1,047$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.723839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Iga Swiatek79c1,001$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1460158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Caty McNally20c986.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.984,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Iga Swiatek71c843.48$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4532735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Caty McNally24c773.33$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18517738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Caty McNally8c756.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.692,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Caty McNally23c721.33$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0457447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Caty McNally3c717.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Caty McNally4c637.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4616350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caty McNally17c625.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.588,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Caty McNally5c621.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9822821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Iga Swiatek78c600$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.422,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Iga Swiatek75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Caty McNally9c556.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Caty McNally16c519.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1327931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Caty McNally2c511.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Caty McNally20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Caty McNally11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Caty McNally20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Caty McNally4c499.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Caty McNally11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Caty McNally10c435.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5750340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Caty McNally16c422.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5190335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Caty McNally7c419.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.961,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Caty McNally17c391.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.652,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Caty McNally13c370.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Caty McNally11c363.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Caty McNally6c327.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Caty McNally32c309.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.465840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Iga Swiatek78c299.55$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.231,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iga Swiatek76c289.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.057,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Caty McNally12c285.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.231,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Caty McNally9c280$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Caty McNally8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Caty McNally12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Caty McNally17c248.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8255243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Caty McNally10c240$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Caty McNally11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Caty McNally16c219.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3557052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Caty McNally19c214.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9218033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Caty McNally18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.646040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…ed4ebacked Iga Swiatek75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Caty McNally32c170.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.513545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Caty McNally9c170$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5389134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Caty McNally22c168$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Caty McNally13c156.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Caty McNally9c151.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2919336.8%71 W · 122 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Caty McNally13c151.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8431…ee9cbacked Caty McNally14c148.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Caty McNally14c130.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5219744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…b75cbacked Caty McNally14c130.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…81c4backed Caty McNally12c129.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed Iga Swiatek80c125.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54465.9%29 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Caty McNally11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Caty McNally20c124$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85518.2%10 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Caty McNally25c121.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Iga Swiatek79c116.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6585449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Caty McNally11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Caty McNally21c108.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Caty McNally10c102.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Iga Swiatek78c101$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2279052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Caty McNally10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Caty McNally11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115918.6%11 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…c418backed Iga Swiatek69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Caty McNally15c85.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.196642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Iga Swiatek78c83.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Caty McNally15c81.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8174346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Iga Swiatek75c79.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Iga Swiatek76c74.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8238860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Caty McNally16c72.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Iga Swiatek78c68.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Caty McNally20c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.416718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Caty McNally25c60.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1249943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Iga Swiatek74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84868.8%33 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Caty McNally25c56.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Iga Swiatek77c45.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.517357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Caty McNally25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7542…c902backed Iga Swiatek79c34.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Iga Swiatek76c32.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.