Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316b48aeabf1836e402d6f42231f6761789cb2c81e9a2f57318d19171622ec95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Yes | 38c | 1,776$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 1,277$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 920.33$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.84 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 866.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 809.35$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 9c | 503.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 429.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 336.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 117.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 111.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 21c | 72.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 48c | 47.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 41c | 38.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 37.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 36.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 61c | 33.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Second half draw?this page
- Morocco to win the second half?No won
- Netherlands to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.