Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c19635bb35c5b5b9089e4acaade03f70ee6011146878f3efdf9f22fb4d3349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 5,110$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 4,528$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 2,219$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.34 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 1,881$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 65c | 437$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 41c | 391.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 380$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 64c | 363.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 35c | 352.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 34c | 306.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 298.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 28c | 293.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0dc0backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 243.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…b011backed No | 78c | 234.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 219.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 64c | 216.53$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 64c | 210$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 200.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Yes | 37c | 189.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…c834backed Yes | 75c | 169.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 65c | 124.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 76c | 117$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 24c | 111.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 96.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 70c | 96.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 74.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 74.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0ae1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…7856backed Yes | 37c | 54.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 48.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 35.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 64c | 32.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…940dbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 27.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 64c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…5778backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to win the second half?this page
- Morocco to win the second half?No won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.