Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x317fa4db80e1da7c03dfc49e59a99eca55dd84823d348877826b33e9e2733cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 9c | 2,895$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 2,290$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.57 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 78c | 1,645$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 1,032$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 658.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 22c | 527.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 25c | 339.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 75c | 323.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 10c | 308.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…cc31backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…e634backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984e…9063backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2197…1feebacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…0315backed Over | 77c | 129.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…53aebacked Over | 77c | 127.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…3631backed Over | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 25c | 102.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 85.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 23c | 72.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…630ebacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 23c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 78c | 49.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…ed84backed Over | 77c | 44.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 77c | 40.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…922cbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.