Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04bc5f3a31b34f0d07e20a3cdbe0254c1b46da80f17ba3e80982b8a1134f900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Taishan FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Shandong Taishan FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 47c | 1,288$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.91 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Shandong Taishan FC | 53c | 1,007$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 53c | 786$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 71c | 715.68$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 508.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 16c | 263.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Shandong Taishan FC | 63c | 239.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 25c | 201.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…9520backed Shandong Taishan FC | 61c | 160.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 35c | 153.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Shandong Taishan FC | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 26c | 148.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 125.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 30c | 124.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shandong Taishan FC | 58c | 96.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 32c | 94.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 91.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shandong Taishan FC | 63c | 74.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Shandong Taishan FC | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Shandong Taishan FC | 56c | 61.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shandong Taishan FC | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 66c | 35.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shandong Taishan FC | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 62c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.