Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f03a3a6cf7b877f320462c25acca7e764f5cd2fc1fe62952675e1e76c1d5fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 59c | 8,753$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.88 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over | 21c | 4,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 78c | 2,857$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 76c | 1,977$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 37c | 1,760$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.75 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 22c | 1,586$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 37c | 1,239$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 1,226$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,163$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Under | 70c | 1,033$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 933.88$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 79c | 666.53$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 549.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 66c | 507$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked Over | 22c | 415.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 37c | 318.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 79c | 251.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…54a0backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…efe1backed Under | 71c | 148.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 79c | 146.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 62c | 143.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 139.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Over | 40c | 128.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 114.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,365 | 45.5%621 W · 744 L | +14.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 78c | 104.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 22c | 104.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 25c | 73.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 59c | 70.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 39c | 68.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 21c | 63.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 36c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 54.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 708 | 52.4%371 W · 337 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 376 | 51.9%195 W · 181 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 22c | 51.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 45.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 33c | 41.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…3763backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 262 | 52.3%137 W · 125 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.