MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bb2f3d0882c395efd6b81ad318f8499cdccd5469d176ac6f50940f8d068d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 29c | 11,170$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 39c | 6,474$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Giants | 73c | 5,221$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rockies | 29c | 5,121$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.57 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Giants | 70c | 4,328$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.87 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants | 72c | 4,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 29c | 2,991$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 42c | 2,936$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Giants | 69c | 2,880$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Giants | 72c | 2,776$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 27c | 2,669$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 29c | 2,200$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 70c | 1,840$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.59 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockies | 29c | 1,601$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.72 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giants | 71c | 1,228$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.88 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 79c | 877.92$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Rockies | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.59 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 72c | 634.44$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 30c | 605.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.04 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…4619backed Giants | 72c | 513.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 29c | 508$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…0dcebacked Giants | 71c | 487$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies | 43c | 482.68$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Giants | 71c | 416.14$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Rockies | 28c | 408$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 70c | 368.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockies | 29c | 334.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.74 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 70c | 329.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Giants | 73c | 315.34$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Giants | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 70c | 302$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rockies | 28c | 216$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Rockies | 32c | 174.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 71c | 167$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Rockies | 43c | 166.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rockies | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockies | 27c | 148$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Giants | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 29c | 98.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Rockies | 52c | 88.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants | 69c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies | 28c | 70.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rockies | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 30c | 53.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Giants | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Giants | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Giants | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 70c | 42.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Giants | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Giants | 70c | 36.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Giants | 69c | 33.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Giants | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Giants | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.