MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33638d8896b2271899ee74503e429d7dda507035f95dab978a2b6740079a359c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 42,576$25,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,884.58 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 10,360$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.95 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 10,093$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,800$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 4,222$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.94 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 3,106$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.65 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,685$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.03 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,586$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.93 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,465$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.77 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,357$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.65 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,133$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.34 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,059$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 800.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 780$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 757$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 717.22$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 667.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 57c | 332.84$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 306$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 300.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 256.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 237.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 231.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 203.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 177$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed New York Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 148.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 128.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 115.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 106.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 84.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 81.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 69.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 64.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed New York Yankees | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 52.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 49.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees | 54c | 49.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 32.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…7d7cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 28.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…caf4backed New York Yankees | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 16.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-6.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.