TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e34…7d7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.58
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$15.54
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.13
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.06
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.06
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rome: Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah Chiesabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rochabacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$14.86
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina Nepliybacked Qianhui Tang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wubacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trieste: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$14.33
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.29
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$39.96
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.37
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+121%+$120.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$230.33
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$40.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.