Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Essex vs Derbyshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345171a3df19adf19928f156ca2a2023dc35740335199c4dbfc109673c3cb2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Essex, Derbyshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Essex | 77c | 2,736$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Derbyshire | 16c | 1,365$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Derbyshire | 28c | 1,339$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.69 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Essex | 78c | 1,072$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Derbyshire | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Derbyshire | 18c | 737.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…715dbacked Derbyshire | 32c | 723.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derbyshire | 12c | 548.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Essex | 50c | 507.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Essex | 75c | 454$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Derbyshire | 25c | 381.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Derbyshire | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Essex | 80c | 348$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Derbyshire | 53c | 274$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Derbyshire | 24c | 263.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Essex | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Essex | 71c | 184.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Derbyshire | 28c | 171.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Essex | 65c | 153.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…acf4backed Derbyshire | 51c | 152.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 73c | 148.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Derbyshire | 28c | 146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Derbyshire | 61c | 118.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…10c3backed Derbyshire | 43c | 100.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Essex | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…91c0backed Derbyshire | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Derbyshire | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Essex | 49c | 90.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Derbyshire | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 66c | 86.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Derbyshire | 20c | 73.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Essex | 63c | 71.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Essex | 48c | 67.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Derbyshire | 38c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…98c6backed Derbyshire | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Essex | 68c | 54.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…0214backed Essex | 76c | 54.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Essex | 76c | 52.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Essex | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Derbyshire | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Essex | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Essex | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Derbyshire | 51c | 48.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Derbyshire | 54c | 47.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Derbyshire | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Derbyshire | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Essex | 47c | 32.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Derbyshire | 50c | 32.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…f568backed Essex | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Derbyshire | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Essex | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Essex | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.