TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK66c12,366$8,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.175,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Lavked35c6,543$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lavked35c5,096$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.665532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed TDK65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed TDK64c4,972$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.8684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lavked34c4,027$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.161,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked TDK66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked34c3,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TDK66c2,836$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.782,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Lavked42c2,748$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1547349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed TDK66c2,272$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.4860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Lavked40c1,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.828324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked Lavked34c1,020$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lavked36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36055843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Lavked34c999.53$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8412426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TDK64c948.91$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.493,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed Lavked35c939.76$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9211947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Lavked33c859$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.471,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TDK66c761.09$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.162,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Lavked35c676.02$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.533060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Lavked34c618.62$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Lavked34c583.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3219643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Lavked35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked39c568.41$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.055,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lavked35c550$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Lavked33c534.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.122542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked TDK62c523.52$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.945966.1%39 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed TDK50c500.01$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2372139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Lavked36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lavked35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed TDK65c487.69$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6964854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Lavked36c465.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4622750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Lavked34c462.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3312334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Lavked34c457.31$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Lavked36c392.1$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK55c379.18$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked TDK65c363.27$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1418550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Lavked34c322.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5840639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ad…8799backed Lavked34c319.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+92.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked50c317.13$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed TDK66c316.69$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6761154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TDK61c316.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Lavked33c313.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Lavked51c311.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed TDK56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13224942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TDK63c298.46$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.434,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lavked34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked16c270$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Lavked34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Lavked37c259.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1512252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed TDK66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.614544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TDK65c239.27$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TDK55c236.89$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.072,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Lavked34c215$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.15549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fe…e38bbacked Lavked35c214.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.182766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed TDK79c214.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.548562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TDK59c214$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.744,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Lavked35c205$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.680740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a05…28c1backed Lavked34c195$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked TDK65c193.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7820544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK62c191.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.725,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed TDK58c179.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TDK58c174.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.124,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lavked35c160$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.692,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed TDK65c149.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked34c148.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5757641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed TDK66c148$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Lavked34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Lavked35c142.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9923335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Lavked35c137.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.214141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Lavked34c132$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.884339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Lavked32c127.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.042958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Lavked34c124$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.167946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed TDK66c121.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6237855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Lavked35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lavked33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3326246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Lavked34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed TDK67c93.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9844552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed TDK66c92.63$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7376248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Lavked34c83.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.468537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked35c81.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4285054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed TDK65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03c…f557backed TDK66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27251.4%37 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Lavked34c79.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked38c68.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TDK56c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed TDK66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6110356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…8dccbacked TDK66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed TDK66c58.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0622059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1040…16cbbacked Lavked35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Lavked36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed Lavked36c54.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.672454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Lavked49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Lavked34c50.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0818747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed TDK80c48.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Lavked34c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5519849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed TDK68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1283856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed TDK64c42.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Lavked34c42.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3128549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.